Monday, February 5, 2018
Property Investment Opportunity.
Asking $2,305 per acre.
Description 2018, 270 acres:
1. 34 acres 28 years old Un-thinned. Planted 1990. Loblolly.
2. 74 acres 27 years old. Thinned. Planted 1991. Loblolly.
3. 126 acres 20 years old. Un-thinned. Planted 1998. Loblolly.
4. 36 acres Natural Hardwood. Popular, Oak, White Pine.
Quality Estimate 2008:
1. 18 years old. BA 140-190. DBH 4"-6". SI 75-85
2. 17 years old. BA 160-190. DBH 6"-8". SI 75-85
3. 10 years old. Not merchantable in size. SI 75-85
4. Hardwood 25 to 30 years old. BA 80-100. DBH 8"-10" SI 80.
Output Estimate 2013:
1. 23 years old. 14.4 MBF SawTimber. 1,036 Cords PulpWood.
2. 22 years old. 76.2 MBF SawTimber. 1,881 Cords PulpWood.
3. 15 years old. Pre-merchantable pine.
4. Hardwood SawTimber 16.8 MBF Yellow Popular, 12.074 MBF Oak, 4.737 MBF Mixed, 29.271 MBF White Pine. + 130 Cords PulpWood.
Valuation Estimate 2013:
1. 34 acres 23 yr old Un-Thinned. $18,593 ... $546 per acre.
SawTimber 14.4 x 7.5 = 108 tons
$2,017 / 108 tons = $18.67 per ton ... now $23.99 per ton
PulpWood 1,036 x 2.68 = 2776 tons
$16,576 / 2776 tons = $5.97 per ton ... now $10.77 per ton
108 + 2776 = 2884 tons / 34 acres = 84 tons per acre
5% SawTimber, 95% Pulpwood.
Assume - 3 tons per acre growth per year. 3 tons per yr x 5 yrs x 34 acres = 510 tons + 2884 tons = now 3394 tons. Further assume mix change to 20% SawTimer, 80% Pulpwood.
SawTimber 678 tons x $23.99 per ton = $16,265
PulpWood 2715 tons x $10.77 per ton = $29,240
New Value of 34 acre trac = $45,505
2. 74 acres 22 yr old Thinned. $40,773 ... $550 per acre.
SawTimber 76.2 x 7.5 = 571 tons
$10,667 / 571 tons = $18.68 per ton ... now $23.99 per ton
Pulpwood 1,881 x 2.68 = 5041 tons
$30,096 / 5041 = $5.97 per ton ... now $10.77 per ton
571 + 5041 = 5612 tons / 74 acres = 75.8 tons per acre
10% SawTimber, 90% Pulpwood.
Assume - 3 tons per acre growth per year. 3 tons per yr x 5 yrs x 74 acres = 1,110 tons + 5612 tons = now 6722 tons. Further assume mix change to 40% SawTimber, 60% Pulpwood.
SawTimber 2688 tons x $23.99 per ton = $64,485
PulpWood 4033 tons x $10.77 per ton = $43,435
New Value of 74 acre trac = $107,920
3. 126 acres 15 yr. $37,296 ... $296 per acre.
Given value of $37,296 / 126 acres = $296 per acre.
Assume - Now 20 yrs old. Avg tonnage of 20 yr old stand is 80 tons per acre. 80 tons x 126 acres = 10,080 tons. Assume 10% SawTimber, 90% Pulpwood.
SawTimber 1008 tons x 23.99 per ton = $24,181
PulpWood 9072 tons x 10.77 per ton = $97,705
New Value of 74 acre trac = $121,886
4. 36 acres natural hardwood. $14,563 ... $404 per acre.
SawTimber Yellow Popular 16.812 x 8.75 = 147.1 Tons
$3,614 / 147.1 Tons = $24.56 per ton
Sawtimber Oak 12.074 x 8.75 = 105.64 Tons
$3,320 / 105.64 Tons = $31.42 per ton ... now $46.13 per ton
SawTimber Mixed 4.737 x 8.75 = 41.48 Tons
$639 / 41.48 Tons = $15.38 per ton ... now $24.54 per ton
SawTimber White Pine 29.271 x 8.75 = 256.1 Tons
$4,390 / 256.1 Tons = $17.41 per ton
Pulpwood Hardwood 130 cords x 2.9 = 377 Tons
$2,600 / 377 Tons = $6.89 per ton ... now $3.97 per ton
Total 2013 Valuation per Appraisal = $111,225 ... $411 per acre. Net asking per acre = $2,305 - $411 per acre = $1,894 per acre.
Ballpark 2018 Valuation
Trac 1 $45.5 K
Trac 2 $107.9 K
Trac 3 $121.8 K
Trac 4 $35 K (swag)
Total value of Timber = $310,200 K
$310.2 / 270 = $1,148
Net asking per acre = $2,305 - $1,148 = $1,157 per acre.
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